http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/04/04/112584.aspxTwo unconventional auto races are getting an extra push of publicity this week: The Automotive X Prize has just formally unveiled its draft rules for super-efficient cars at the New York Auto Show, while one of the teams in the DARPA Urban Challengeen-USCommunityServer 2.0 (Build: 60608.1)http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/04/04/112584.aspx#112795Thu, 05 Apr 2007 12:13:53 GMT8a5d2dbc-a0e4-4c7a-979f-3188051f228e:112795ChanceI am skeptical the congressionally mandated 1/3rd robotic fleet will be attained by the military, even if the Urban Challege goes well. I'm not saying they won't be close, I just think 2015 is a bit ambitious when you look at how long a time budget write ups, competitive bidding, production, fielding, and the writing of new doctrine takes. Maybe by 2020 they'll see a third. http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/04/04/112584.aspx#113318Thu, 05 Apr 2007 19:30:26 GMT8a5d2dbc-a0e4-4c7a-979f-3188051f228e:113318Justin, McLean, VAIt was my understanding that that the 1/3 robotic fleet would include remote controlled vehicles and not just completely autonomous machines..http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/04/04/112584.aspx#113471Thu, 05 Apr 2007 21:36:37 GMT8a5d2dbc-a0e4-4c7a-979f-3188051f228e:113471Alan BoyleJustin, you may be right on that ... the way it's usually said is that unmanned vehicles would make up a third of the ground combat vehicles, although I've seen some references to "unassisted" vehicles, which would be slightly different. In any case, I overreached by saying "the bulk" of military vehicles would be autonomous, and I've revised the language above. Thanks for the reality check....