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Totally fictional doomsdays

Posted: Monday, September 08, 2008 8:23 PM by Alan Boyle


Scott Eklund / Seattle Post-Intelligencer file
University of Washington physicist John Cramer has designed an experiment
in reverse-time causality - and has written a novel about time travel as well.

Have you heard the one about the physics experiment that created globe-gobbling black holes? Or killer neutrino beams? Or the voice of God? How about antimatter explosives and the boson bomb? There's even a supercollider that set off a crisis so huge that scientists had to be sent back in time to make sure the supercollider was never built in the first place.

All these subatomic nightmares, and more besides, are pure science fiction ... with a bit of science woven in.

The black-hole nightmare in particular has touched off a wave of worry about the Large Hadron Collider, complete with lawsuits, tearful protests and death threats.

Several rounds of scientific studies, considering increasingly outlandish scenarios, have ruled out the black-hole threat. The evidence shows that the collider is absolutely safe, and poses no chance of cosmic catastrophe. Nevertheless, the hysteria continues: Part of the reason for that is that scientists say it's conceivable that a less threatening breed of subatomic black holes could be created. But another factor is that there's so much science-fiction appeal to the tale of the black hole that ate the earth.

In fact, the idea goes back at least several years before Europe's CERN particle-physics lab even gave the go-ahead for building the LHC. Physicist/author David Brin used the black-hole scenario as a plot device in his eco-disaster novel "Earth," published in 1990 (and Brin has said the idea didn't originate with him).

Campaigners worked the cosmic-catastrophe theme into their opposition to Fermilab's Tevatron in Illinois (starting in the mid-1990s), the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider in New York (starting in the late '90s) and the LHC (starting a couple of years ago).

Those real-life atom-smashers, in addition to the never-built Superconducting Super Collider in Texas, figure in a bevy of subatomic scare stories. Perhaps the eeriest one is "Einstein's Bridge," by University of Washington physicist John Cramer.

It's eerie on at least two counts:

  • Cramer worked on the novel in the early to mid-1990s, before and after Congress' 1993 cancellation of funding for the Superconducting Super Collider. The Texas facility as well as the LHC (which was approved for construction around the same time) figure in the plot, along with some real-life and quasi-real-life characters from politics and particle physics. I won't spoil the plot, other than to say it involves aliens from two different metaverses and a desperate effort to go back in time and make sure the supercollider never got built. (The effort apparently worked.)

  • Speaking of time travel, Cramer has been in the midst of a real-life experiment in retrocausality - a kind of backward flow of information from the future to the past. I first wrote about this experiment almost two years ago, and Cramer recently told me that he's still trying to get the apparatus to work. Perhaps what Stephen Hawking said is true: Nature abhors a time machine.

Cramer, who's also on one of the research teams using the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider, has often said that he'll write either a scientific paper or a novel about backward causality.

"If the experiment works, then I will be on to some very interesting roads to success," Cramer said, "but I'll probably end up writing the novel rather than making the discovery. In a sense, doing the experiment is background for the novel."

The Large Hadron Collider just might provide Cramer and other science-savvy novelists with new material for their stories. Probably not about world-threatening black holes, though. That plot has been around for years.

Like most scientists, Cramer says the same theory that suggests black holes might be created at the LHC also says they would fizzle out instantly - which he explained in his "Alternate View" column for Analog magazine, more than five years ago.

In fact, Cramer doubts that the LHC will ever find black holes. He's more hopeful that physicists will detect their main target, a fundamental particle called the Higgs boson.

"It's fairly likely that they will see the Higgs at some point, but it will be a while before they can make a case for it," he told me. "It's fairly unlikely that they'll find black holes. And it's also fairly likely they'll see something they didn't expect at all." 

Are you looking for more thrills and chills? Here are 10 other novels that explore the fictional frontiers of particle physics. Some of them have already been featured as selections for the Cosmic Log Used-Book Club.

  • "Angels and Demons": Dan Brown's thriller is set mostly in Rome, but the opening chapters - including the theft of an antimatter bomb - bring the sleuthing symbolologist from "The Da Vinci Code" to the Large Hadron Collider. The movie adaptation, starring Tom Hanks, is due out next year. Check out this reality check from CERN, and this update on how filmmakers came to the real LHC to prepare for the big-screen version.

  • "Blasphemy": Here's another fast-moving thriller about a fictional supercollider named Isabella (a reference to the never-completed ISABELLE collider in New York). The physicists think they're hearing the voice of God, while militant Christians think Armageddon is nigh. What on earth inspired Douglas Preston to write this one? Click here for the spoiler

  • "Cat's Cradle": Kurt Vonnegut's classic is a 20th-century tale of the Midas touch. In this version, the catastrophe is brought on by ice-nine, a fictional form of water that freezes over even at high temperatures. The ice-nine concept has been evoked in the discussions over whether exotic bits of matter known as strangelets could turn everything it touches into strangelets as well - a doomsday scenario that experts have judged to be all wet.

  • "Cosm": The Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider is the setting for Gregory Benford's novel about subatomic smash-ups that create little big bangs and new universes.

  • "Final Theory": Mark Alpert's novel is one of the latest entrants in the subatomic-scare genre. It's based on the idea that Albert Einstein actually came up with a unified field theory - but saw that the applications were so deadly that it had to be kept secret. Some critics have seen parallels to "The Da Vinci Code," but the crucial scenes focus on the Tevatron rather than the Templars.

  • "Flashforward": In Robert J. Sawyer's novel, physicists at the Large Hadron Collider set out to find the Higgs boson, but when they turn on the atom-smasher, they find instead that everyone on Earth blacks out for two minutes and gets a sneak preview of life 21 years later. Was it all just a hallucination?

  • "The God Particle": Richard Cox's novel should not be confused with the nonfiction book of the same name that was written by Nobel-winning physicist Leon Lederman. In this tale, the quest for the Higgs boson at the Superconducting Super Collider sparks strange new powers in a regular guy who doesn't understand what's going on. Kind of like a "Heroes" episode.

  • "A Hole in Texas": Herman Wouk ("War and Remembrance") blends politics, particle physics and a little hanky-panky in his novel about a veteran of the Superconducting Super Collider project who's called back into service when Washington fears that the Chinese might be working on a boson bomb.

  • "Manifold: Time": The first book in Stephen Baxter's science-fiction trilogy suggests that faint messages can be sent back in time from the end of the universe, using coded neutrinos. And that's not all: If you read only one novel about spacefaring squids, this is the one. 

  • "Timescape": This Gregory Benford novel is also about time-traveling messages - in this case, faster-than-light tachyons sent back from an environmentally wrecked world in 1998 to a nuclear magnetic resonance experiment in 1963. How can you reconcile quantum mechanics with information flowing backward in time? Sounds like it's John Cramer's retrocausality experiment all over again.

Do you have further suggestions for subatomic stories? Feel free to leave them as comments below, and they just might turn into future recommendations for the Cosmic Log Used-Book Club.

Update for 11:50 a.m. ET May 21, 2009: I traveled back in time to let you know about the status of Cramer's retrocausality experiment. He's gearing up for "phase 3," but there are still no results to report.

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Comments

All this needs is a frozen donkey wheel and Michael Emerson and you have this last season's finale of Lost
I will have to add the Computer Game Half-Life to this list. An accident that create a "Resonance Cascade" ripping the fabric of space and allowing alien creatures to invade Earth through the tears. And to top it off the Hero of the story is a Theoretical Physisist, Gordon Freemann who is thrust into the role of pushing the invading aliens back and closing the rift.
look people, it's really simple.  if we we're talking about doing something utterly unprecidented or unseen in the natural world like COLLIDING much heavier elemental particles other than photons or even at speeds greater than the speed of light, then...maybe we could discuss what we don't know & worry about trying to prove the safety of purely theoretical science.  

unfortunately for the naysayers or those of less understanding, it is a widely known fact that much more energetic collisions occur all around us at all times.  yet, oddly...we're still here...or are we?

c'mon people...the visible universe is made up of trillions of stars.  stars emit photons at the speed of light. do you think, maybe, at some point...just a few of these photons might collide?  if these photons are colliding at the speed of light (from both parties)...wouldn't that alone constitute exponentially more energy than colliding some photons at 98% the speed of light unto an inaminate set of particles?

i'm no genius...but this seems to makes sense to me.
Hysterics are up in arms over the creation of black holes by the LHC.  By theory, there must be two sides to a black hole.  We know black holes exist.  Are we on the  inside or the "Other" side?  How do we know that what we perceive as black holes haven't already swallowed our little portion of the universe, and we are merely peering through the portals created when we were all swallowed BY the black holes?  

  My point is, there are no absolutes in science or the arguments against it.  There is no discovery without risk.  Science has minimized these risks as much as possible with current understanding. If the world explodes, then the religious will be embarking on their final journey and the scientists will just be particles of matter in a void.  What's to lose?
I recall reading, MANY years ago, a story in which a time-traveler drops a penlike tool from his own distant future. The tool had a field point that annihilated matter with no radiation byproduct--possibly a small captured black hole? This tool disappeared into the floor and, presumably, sank to the core. Later in the story the time-traveler visits *much* further in the future, and sees from orbit(?)a shrunken, wrinkled object that he realizes is the Earth with uncountable millennia of matter being annihilated by the tool he dropped.

My memory is fuzzy, this was over 30 years ago. Any help with a title/author?
Ill take bets we wake up around the world, two weeks past the supercollider's first run and we find ourselves 10 min off and in a new solar system. I hope it doesn't hert!
I love the CERN FAQ.  One thing they note, which I have never heard before in the popular science literature, is that we are never likely to be able to produce antimatter any more efficiently, as it is tied to certain basic physical principles.  Most pop sci I've seen treats it as a surmountable problem.  Well, so much for the Enterprise. ;)
Here's why I k now time travel will never work... now or in the future: If it did or will, where is everyone?  There's no one here wearing fashions from the year 2095.  Unless they are standing in the dimensions we cannot see, then no one has returned back.  Keep in mind, I love this stuff!
Has anybody heard sth about J.Cramers experiment? What is going on? I can't find any new information within the last half year.  
This might fit right in this list:

"Dark Matter" a movie that was never made.

http://www.simplyscripts.com/scripts/DarkMatter-Inthebeginning010405.pdf
Puny human experiment on a subject that is carried out on a vastly larger scale minuet by minuet all around us. Perhaps we will learn something perhaps not as far as destroying the planet or creating a big or small bang, LOL
Some day this planet will be struck by an asteroid, maybe a 2nd sun will come too close that is sister to ours. Besides killing ourselves by war, pollution and overpopulation we need to wake up and get along with most everyone, as well as continuing to advance as far as we can in all forms of scientific endeavor, otherwise what chance  do we have to protect ourselves from a great catastrophic event. We could be doomed except for a small percentage of survivors, in a protected area like a cave.
As for all you book readers we appreciate your book knowledge, but this is not science fiction it is real and it means progress in some form. As for all the bible specialists, I still think the bible was written by a few scholars and put together with a lot of good stories based on their experiences and projected thoughts. Keep in mind all gains we have made in related fields to the scientific have come through many forms of testing, hard work, speculation, and people willing to take a chance. I am sure most of you are glad you are not in the dark ages, but some of you certainly still act like you are afraid of advancement, yet you are willing to benefit from it.
Dread of some scientific experiment brought to you by the same people who do not believe in global warming, good luck!
so if the scientists aren't sure how many dimensions there are, or how gravity interacts with these extra dimensions.  What makes them so certain this experiment is safe?  Shouldn't they be doing other experiments to determine the safety of this one?  I mean let us assume a sub atomic black hole is created but it spans the other dimensions and doesn't just immediately disappear but hangs around.  What then?  Nuke the Russians?
I don't see what all the fuss is about.  The equation of our existance has no variables without experimentation.  Do nothing and we're guaranteed the future identified by the signage "The End Is Near".  Okay, so it's a few billion years away but if not now then when do we try to progress science?  As far as I can tell the only people that should be concerned about destroying the planet and all of us on it should be those individuals that are certain where they'll end up.  
The best of all might be Larry Niven's:

"Rotating Cylinders and the Possibility of Global Causality Violation"

After the Frank Tipler paper of the same name.

http://news.larryniven.org/biblio/display.asp?key=124

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipler_cylinder
CommonSense Prophet
Read Genesis carefully, it is an accurate but brief description of creation without the modern scientific vocabulary.  It does not contradict known scientific fact and that is miraculous in itself.  Prove me wrong.
wow Flashfowerward is weird
Regarding GPS:  the commercial system is limited by government fiat to an accuracy of about 10 m.  The system does broadcast another signal, used by the military, that brings the error down to about 10 cm.  That's how GPS-guided munitions and devices are able to get shack hits from miles and miles away.  The system _does_ take the extremely small time dialation effects caused by the relative motions of the satellites into account.

As for "speeding up light in a lab", it's been shown that what happened was that the *shape* of the light pulse changed, but the speed was still that of light in the medium of transmission.

Cerenkov radiation is radiation of a very particular energy level and wavelength which is given off by particles *attempting* to travel faster than the speed of light in a given medium.  In water, anyway, it's a lovely, intense light blue color.
Three more "black hole menaces earth" novels:
Greg Benford's Eater - an intelligent black hole arrives at earth with demands ...
David Brin's Earth -  a power reactor's hole accidentally drops into earth.
Thomas Wren[pseud of Thomas T. Thomas]'s The Doomsday Effect - a small hole has impacted earth from space.  Can it be removed?

All 3 are fun reads!
Paradox Olbers in Second Life

Darren Lichty: since you were there at Creation to confirm that Genesis is an "accurate description", I guess there's just no proving you wrong.  You win.

But you might have a harder time convincing the Hindus, whose literature is far more ancient and more scientifically "accurate" than the Old Testament version you're reading.  But undoubtedly you consider Hindus to be no better than godless heathens anyway, so who cares what they think.
I really wish scientists had been able to push light faster than the speed of light. Wow, maybe there's a reason that it's called the speed of light. Anyway, if scientists had done that, then it would be theoretically possible to travel back in time. What a world we would be in.

There are physicists tha think time itself is a fiction. A convenient construct of the mind that says nothing about reality. This archive can be listened to with realplayer "Living on Oxford Time"

http://www.cbc.ca/ideas/features/living-on-oxford-time/
The first Star Trek series regularly introduced physical concepts that were relatively new such as ..anti-matter bombs, time travel using relativistic
means and relativistic physics in general. I guess with the likes of a Vulcan on the set, they had to !
Yeah Right..like your so smart you spell God with a Small (g)?...Soo..i guess you still dont get it..?..The Bible says, [GOD,& CHRIST holds all things together]..and that was written before the word ATOM was even in our Vocabulary..Thats,why HE is the CREATOR.(((The BIBLE Has the Answer))),Read a little of GENESIS..then the First Words in the Book of JOHN in the New Testament,for MORE Insight & CORRECT Details & for the [EXaCT FORMULA]!,To the Universe and all Things THAt HE MADE,through CHRIST.NOT MAN..! This is Not a Good thing they are Doing! & what Good could it do us all..? Hey, remember the O ring on the NASA-Space Shuttle..?or the time all the Astronauts died in a fire even before it got off the ground? Hint, Why do you think they call this [DARK MATTER..?]MMMmmm. Maybe they should have called it the "DEATH STAR" Look,this Experiment serves No GOOD-purpose other than SELF & EGo & Foolish, Vain Guessing..HEY,.JESUS fed the Hungry & the Multiudes with only 5 fishes and Loaves..Let the boys,try that one..?or at least spend 14 million on some REAL NEEDS..WE HUMANS have.SCIENCE does,Not rule the Universe..Only-GOD DOES! so why play,God..when you cant even be Human or want to,Love & PROTECT all Life etc. on the Planet... including my Dog..? Hey, wake up! *THESE, Poor Dumb Guys who think there soooo.. smart* MAY ALL END UP..[FRENCH TOAST] & [SWISS CHEESE] DOWN IN THAT HOLE?] mmmm...anybody Hungry? Or it could all end up another [RUBBER BIGFOOT].? But,Seriously,May God,Watch Over Us & have Mercy on All of us,inspite of ourselves, Tommorrow! AMEN.
Remember the movie-Event Horizon or watch it soon. It may give insight.Evil arrives after intense black hole power use.
Let's send a message out to the universe. Let it say "We here on Earth, will soon collide particles. If any Alien species believe this to be a death sentence for our time, and allow 100 years for an answer. This will give us time to try more nondestructive ways to  To miss or mister common sense prophet. It was the bible that aided a scientist it calculating the path time tragetory of our earlier space probes. What is "Quantum" anyway. An attempt to make something up when you can't find the real answer.
people are'nt going to stop having sex because contraception has a 99% chance of working and there's the 1% chance that you get pregnant or an std, so why would the stop this, because the worlds at risk? no their egos are too huge to put the world before the experiment kind of like global warming people dont care because it isnt instantaneous, there fore they foreget and dont do anything putting it off to the future generations to fix or continue to f**k up.

they just wont do anything to stop it, to them theres not that big a risk.
To quote A. Einstein "Technological progress is like an axe in the hands of a pathological criminal".
The CERN may very well end up being the underground Tower of Babel. Man proposes and God disposes. Even Einstein belived in God. Didn't he say something to the effect the God with out science is ignorance and science without God is stupidity.
You all remember that rockets were supposed to cause the atmosphere to leak out of the earth right?
Don't mess with Mother Nature she might bite you in the butt Albert!
Seize the night by Dean Koonz,  while we're on the subject of multiple dimensions and weird freaky science going wrong!
I for one believe that nothing whatsoever will befall the Earth as a result of the LHC. If it turns out that I'm wrong and the Earth is gobbled up by a microscopic black hole (that somehow masses more than the entire solar system) then you have my permission to say "I told you so."

Oh, and who says religion and science have to be mutually self-exclusive?
in theory the only way we will ever see other worlds is by traveling through worm holes a type of controlled black hole we will never be able to travel at the speed of light otherwise. hope we are here tommorow i hope that are little experiment does not bring unwanted attention from other inteligence who are not even aware of are existence at the moment
Three Different Thoughts Come to Mind.


Those who are in favor of shutting down the CERN Collider should be made to wear a little pink flag on their back to shame them for their cowardice and fear mongering.

The world is round not flat. The only way to progress and solve the many crises in our near future is through our willingness to take the next step.  

It seems most of the people in this world are too busy holding on to the bank of the river instead of flowing with it.
12/21/12. You have been warned.
The human experiment will eventually destroy the planet anyway. So what is the big deal.
In the short story "Gravity’s Angel" by Tom Maddox, the Superconducting Synchrotron Collider was funded rather than canceled, and the end result is the creation of a singularity: http://www.dthomasmaddox.com/angel.html
Well holy crap i had no idea that so many people were smarter and more qualified to do such experements(or not do them)!   Lets try to look at it this way, are any of us going to tell a heart surgeon how to coretly do a bypass?  Are we going to tell an engineer how to construct a stable bridge, or a pilot how to fly a plane?   No, because these people are professionals and have studied/ done the job before.   So my question, why cant we let the professionals make the call on whether or not htis is safe considering they know far more about all of this than any of us ever will?   The Earth is impacted billions of times per day with the very same particles that the LHC will be using, and at much greater speeds(the full speed of light rather than 98-99%).   My point being even after billion of eyars of collisions the Earth, the solar system and even the galaxy remain intact.  I am suprised people are so arrogant as to think that we can do something the cosmos havent already done.   As for those religious zealots out there... why dont u pray to your god to save us?   Surely he wont let his grand experement wipe itself out right?   The simpel fact of the matter is that thus far the scientists have no evidence that any of these fears will occur, even the most wild and outlandish ones.    As has been stated before if everyone was so afraid to push the limits and test our understanding of the world around us we would still be living in a cave.   Havent you ALL benefited from the risks men like this take?  I personally am no particle/theoretical physics major nor have I ever done any serious study of the topics.  Therefore I am going to trust in those who are and have and just hope that they detect the Higg's Boson and prove the stabdard model correct!
How do they expect to measure the temporal existence of a black hole that small?  Quantum theory suggests that a black hole created by the merging of two elementary particles would last only about as long as the Planck Time, that is, 10^-44 seconds, and the shortest period of time that has been directly measured in only the attosecond, 10^-18. Maybe they could measure the heat coming off them in the collider - a black hole that small should be very hot. The people freaked out about black holes swallowing up all of Earth need to have two critical points of ignorance addressed: 1. We probably have millions of black holes created every day when cosmic rays hit our upper atmosphere - but they exist so briefly that its as though they don't exist.  2. In order for a black hole to reach the point where it absorbs energy faster than it evaporates it, it has to be created with a starting mass of about 4.7x10^23 kilograms - about 6 and a half times the mass of Earth's moon.  Since they are working with masses not even remotely on that scale, the Earth will survive.
 
The Mayans predicted the end of the world in the winter 2012. All they events leading to the event that will disrupt the balance of the universe is coming full circle. What now? Humans will ended up destroying the perfect balance and cause this earth to self destruct. HEED THE WARNING PEOPLE SOMETHINGS ARE JUST MEANT TO BE LEFT ALONE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The Mayans predicted the end of the world in the winter 2012. All they events leading to the event that will disrupt the balance of the universe is coming full circle. What now? Humans will ended up destroying the perfect balance and cause this earth to self destruct. HEED THE WARNING PEOPLE SOMETHINGS ARE JUST MEANT TO BE LEFT ALONE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
how dare you scare most of the kids in the world because we all thought we were going to die today and know look what you have done because all the kids at some f the sckool are saying that we are going to die i don't really want to die so i hope you know what you are doing because i personley think thhat you are just a bit stupid and you even have to do it so yer i hope you know whatyou are doing.

thank you!!!
 
I dont get this at all, people do crazy things in life thats making earth punish us for what we mankind are doing to ourself and as soon a scientist try to find good things they try to stop them, i guess thats why we are still living in a cage and making fire with sticks and rocks.. I say go CERN and finish it fast i cant wait to see if theres other dimensions out the and what the world and faith holds in store for us all..
I am not afraid of scientific experiments. I am terrified by people like James Stauffer. FYI James, KNOWLEDGE is one of our basic needs and we get it through sicence, not by reading fairytales! Once again, GO CERN!!!
Every one seems to b looking into the dread of night does no 1 see any good in these experiments if u lot think where we started with computers and where we are now.  Give it time the race has just started not to long ago we were living on a flat earth then we were the centre of the universe who knows what the posebelitys could hold for us
In the quantum world ANYTHING is possible but some scenarios are so unlikely to happen science considers them virtually zero.  It's possible that the world would teleport into the sun for a few seconds and destroy all...chances are it will not happen.  The threat of LHC generating a catastrophe of global proportions is one of these virtually zero percent chances.  We were created to chase God.  This is just one more step to understanding how the universe works and reading Gods mind...how is that not appealing???
If the scientists are unsure about the outcome and if there are no immediate/tangible benefits,why is the experiment being persisted with? Egos of these scientists do seem to  justify the portrayal of a "Mad Scientist" as a villain in much of Science Fiction and the movies ! Even a small businessman conducts a Risk Analysis and decides against doing any thing if there are large areas of ignorance.What about the national governments that are financing the experiment? Are the politicians rendered dumb and  deaf before the Scientific Community even though the outcome may go out of everybody's hands?
Ill just hope that this people incharge of this project  knows what they're doing cause once the damage is done-THERE'S NO TURNING BACK! we have to deal with all the consequences!
This is something serious! If it fails to do what it's suppose to, it won't be fun at all...


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