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Quantum fluctuations in space, science, exploration and other cosmic fields... served up regularly by MSNBC.com science editor Alan Boyle since 2002.

Alan Boyle covers the physical sciences, anthropology, technological innovation and space science and exploration for MSNBC.com. He is a winner of the AAAS Science Journalism Award, the NASW Science-in-Society Award and other honors; a contributor to "A Field Guide for Science Writers"; and a member of the board of the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing.

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Lunar landers left behind

Posted: Thursday, August 30, 2007 4:55 PM by Alan Boyle

The field for the $2 million Northrop Grumman Lunar Lander Challenge is leaner than it was, with two teams dropping out of the rocket competition. The exit of Micro-Space and a mysterious unnamed group leaves seven teams still in the hunt - but there could be further spills and thrills between now and October's Wirefly X Prize Cup contest, says organizer Will Pomerantz. You don't have to look any further than the setback recently suffered by the Lunar Lander Challenge's front-runner to see that.

The Lunar Lander Challenge is one of the Centennial Challenges backed by NASA, which is putting up the $2 million in prize money. Teams will compete at the Oct. 27-28 X Prize Cup at New Mexico's Holloman Air Force Base to get their rocket-powered lunar lander prototypes from point A to point B and back again, in accordance with the contest rules.

Pomerantz, the X Prize Foundation's space projects director, is responsible for making sure all the teams follow the rules. One of those rules is that all the teams have to make themselves publicly known 60 days before the competition - and that meant the contest's mysterious ninth team had to reveal itself this week or withdraw.

"They decided it was in their best interest to withdraw from the competition altogether for this year," Pomerantz told me.

Colorado-based Micro-Space, a competitor in past X Prize rocket contests, also decided to pass up this year's faceoff. Micro-Space missed out on a mandatory meeting this month, forfeiting their bid, Pomerantz said. "They have a number of projects going on, and probably they just determined that the best plan for them was concentrating on those efforts, even if it meant they would be forgoing a chance to bring home a check," he said.

That leaves Acuity Technologies, Armadillo Aerospace, BonNova, Masten Space Systems, Paragon Labs, SpeedUp and Unreasonable Rocket still in the running.

"All of our seven teams are in pretty good positions," Pomerantz said. "That said, there's a lot of work to be done between now and October. They're all in a position where they need some things to go right and not a lot of things to go wrong."

Something did go wrong earlier this month for Texas-based Armadillo Aerospace, the only team to compete in last year's Lunar Lander Challenge and the widely acknowledged front-runner to win big bucks this year. One of their two rocket prototypes, Texel, was destroyed in a fiery crash during testing in Oklahoma.

Armadillo's John Carmack said the setback isn't a mortal blow: Texel's twin, Pixel, will vie for the challenge's top prize of $1 million - and the team plans to enter one of its new Module rocket ships in another, less ambitious competition level. But Pomerantz said Armadillo's setback illustrates how quickly fortunes can change. After all, this is rocket science.

If all seven teams make it to October's finals, the show will be positively hopping at Holloman. X Prize Cup spectators could find themselves watching a two-ring rocket circus.

"We've designed for two pad zones, so you can have two competitors with heavily concurrent operations," Pomerantz explained. "While one team is getting ready to pump their gas, the other team is flying - and once the first team touches down, the next team is ready to go."

For more on the buildup to the X Prize Cup, check out Space Prizes, the Spaceports blog and of course RLV and Space Transport News. My friend over at Space.com, Leonard David, is also keeping track of developments on his LiveScience blog.

Update for 1:30 a.m. ET Aug. 31: The X Prize Foundation has scheduled a Sept. 6 briefing on its Automotive X Prize program, which aims to promote more efficient road vehicles (getting the equivalent of 100 miles per gallon). Among those due to speak is Malcolm Bricklin, the auto-entrepreneur who helped bring the Subaru and the Yugo to America and is now planning to bring plug-in hybrid electric vehicles to market by 2010 through his Visionary Vehicles venture.

The folks behind the Automotive X Prize have signed up 31 teams for the contest and are looking for sponsors to put up the prize money. Is Bricklin signing on? Will it turn out to be the Visionary Vehicles Automotive X Prize or somesuch? Stay tuned for updates next week.

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Comments

hey, Alan...who decides the 'frontrunner' in these things?
you refer to problems for the 'frontrunner'.
how'd they get anointed?
Hm, maybe I'm one of the guys doing the anointing. ... Just call me Samuel. ;-) But seriously, Armadillo was the only team to compete last year and they almost won. This year, they're the only ones known to have actually run through the entire sequence for winning a prize already. They've kept folks posted about every step in their progress, and their work looks pretty impressive. So I feel comfortable with giving Armadillo front-runner status.
Those guys have about as much chance making a lander capable of actually landing on the moon or on mars, as I have of making my SONY robot dog wizz on the top of mount everest...
Why is this so difficult if it was done 38 years ago?  Oh wait it never did work on earth, but yet did so well on the moon.  I understand the additional thrust needed in earths gravity but the ability to "balance" would be the same if not easier here because of the atmosphere. This is the smoking gun for people that question whether we actually did land on the moon in 69. That lander worked so good it looked as if it was being pulled straight up by a cable!
Actually, the atmosphere would make it more difficult because you need to deal with variable lateral forces (cross winds and gusts) not just a constant verticle force.  The decreased gravity of the moon (1/6th of Earth's) would also make it easier because it allows more reaction time for the pilot once in the hovering and landing phase since you are falling at an acceleration 1/6th the rate of the earths.
It is true that the Lunar Lander Challenge contestants are not really building vehicles capable of landing on the moon. They are designed to operate on Earth, by remote control from a short distance away, and to be refueled from a trailor by people standing next to them in shirtsleeves. But they are building vehicles with the same Delta-V that would be required for a real landing (at least in the 180 second contest) and with a real control system for stable hovering flight. More to the point, most of them are amateurs! And they are spending a tiny fraction of the money that NASA spent on the real LM in the sixties. So there is an important sense in which they are, in fact, advancing the state of the art. They are solving the technical challenges in economical ways that bring these capabilities down from the realm of something only a superpower government can do to the level of something entrepeneurs can do. And that, I think, is significant.
why is everyone an apologist?
we're going nowhere slowly...period!
Boys and their Toys...kid with the most toys at the end wins...etc...
that is what these challenges are all about, and it's pure, unadulterated pablum for the masses because nobody has a clue of what to do...so we repeat the past, in a bunch of half-baked, short money tributes...nonsense!
and...key...the masses don't don't give a rats patootie about the stuff we dream of at CosmicLog...DAMMIT!
because of the Boys and their Toys mentality...
What you call 'Boys and their Toys,' I call people taking their own money (as oppposed to tax revenues), taking their own risks and *doing* something, rather than whining about how it should be...

Those 'masses' don't know about Centennial Challenges either, you see. That's as sad as anything else. But that's not why Armadillo and other contenders are in it. John Carmack already knows games. He knows how to do real stuff, too, because he believes in it. Had I the deep pockets and the expertise of a Carmack, Rutan or Musk, it's what *I* would be doing.

Bless 'em all. They're the spiritual descendants of those bicycle mechanics from Dayton...




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