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Quantum fluctuations in space, science, exploration and other cosmic fields... served up regularly by MSNBC.com science editor Alan Boyle since 2002.

Alan Boyle covers the physical sciences, anthropology, technological innovation and space science and exploration for MSNBC.com. He is a winner of the AAAS Science Journalism Award, the NASW Science-in-Society Award and other honors; a contributor to "A Field Guide for Science Writers"; and a member of the board of the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing.

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Tragedy in the new space race

Posted: Sunday, July 29, 2007 4:00 PM by Alan Boyle

They all knew it would happen someday, but they probably didn't think it would happen so soon: For many of those who count themselves in the vanguard of the "personal spaceflight revolution," the three rocketeers who died Thursday in an explosion at Scaled Composites' rocket test site near Mojave, Calif., represent the first fatalities recorded in the service of that revolution.

Spaceflight pioneers have been saying for years that deaths were virtually certain to occur during the development of a new crop of privately funded spaceships. Most people thought the first deaths would come during the actual spaceflights, with test pilots and perhaps even passengers falling victim. But the history of rocketry shows that death strikes on the ground as well as in the air: Launch-pad disasters in the United States, the Soviet Union and Brazil easily come to mind.

Thursday's accident took place as Scaled Composites was testing components for the hybrid rocket engine that would be used on the next-generation rocket plane the company is building for Virgin Galactic.

The engine is designed to use a solid fuel and nitrous oxide. Nitrous oxide, which earned the nickname "laughing gas" when it was used as a recreational drug and an anesthetic, is considered a relatively safe, non-toxic oxidizer. It caused no problems during the development and flight testing of the SpaceShipOne rocket plane, climaxing in 2004 with the first private-sector spaceflights and the capture of the $10 million Ansari X Prize.

But something went wrong with the tanks of nitrous oxide being used to test SpaceShipTwo's motor - and the blast of pressurized gas went off like a bomb at Scaled Composites' remote test site. The dead included Charles Glen May, 45; Eric Blackwell, 38; and Todd Ivens, 33. Three others were injured, and two were still in critical condition Friday. (You can rely on Clark Lindsey's RLV and Space Transport News for updates.)

Family members said May had worked on SpaceShipOne, left the company, and returned to work at Scaled just this Monday. He left a wide trail on the Internet: Eulogies took note of May's rocket-bike experiments and his involvement with other pioneering rocket efforts.

Blackwell and Ivens will receive their own eulogies as well, in public or in private. My condolences and prayers go out to the families of the three who died, as well as to the injured and their families, and the extended families of Scaled employees and Mojave rocketeers.

What will this mean for the spaceflight revolution in general, and SpaceShipTwo in particular? In a first-impressions posting, rocket engineer Rand Simberg, the proprietor of Transterrestrial Musings, suspected that the accident could represent "a major setback" for Virgin Galactic.

In truth, it's hard to judge exactly how much of a setback it will be - because Scaled Composites founder Burt Rutan has been so reticent to talk about future schedules.

"We have for a year and a half here been not answering any questions at all about the program," he told journalists at a news conference Thursday.

The Los Angeles Times quoted Rutan as saying the accident would not change Scaled's insistence on secrecy. In the past, Virgin Galactic has hinted that SpaceShipTwo would be unveiled by the end of this year and would begin flight testing next year - but on Thursday, Rutan would say only that SpaceShipTwo "won't be unveiled until it's ready to fly."

Michael Belfiore, whose brand-new book "Rocketeers" focuses on Rutan and other private-space pioneers, told me that it's way too early to judge how much Thursday's explosion will set back Virgin Galactic's plans. And it's too early to judge whether this will take any steam out of the push toward suborbital space tourism.

"Since it wasn't actually in flight, it's hard to see it as a strike against space technology as a whole," Belfiore said. "It's tragic and very sad, but I don't know if it's going to have a chilling effect on the industry."

In comments to The Associated Press, X Prize founder Peter Diamandis took a similar tack. "This was an industrial accident. This has nothing to do with spaceflight," he was quoted as saying. "I have complete confidence that they are building a safe and robust spaceship."

On a technical level, Diamandis is totally correct: The accident is outside the jurisdiction of the Federal Aviation Administration, and is being handled as an occupational safety matter by Scaled, the Mojave Air and Space Port, and the state of California. But when you set aside the technicalities, the cause that brought Glen May, Eric Blackwell and Todd Ivens to Mojave has everything to do with spaceflight.

"Some of us think of space heroes as only those who strap themselves into a rocket ship," Rick Tumlinson, a co-founder of the Space Frontier Foundation and a space revolutionary if ever there was one, said in a statement issued today. "But people like these, who give their sweat and lives to build those ships, who take their families out to live in the desert and work incredible hours on tedious tasks to make those rockets fly, and who do so because they share the dream of an open frontier in space, they too are true heroes."

Amen. And Godspeed.

Update for 3:28 p.m. July 28: Late Friday, the members of the Personal Spaceflight Federation drew up this statement on Thursday's accident and its implications:

STATEMENT BY THE MEMBERS
Regarding the Recent Incident in Mojave

"This is a sad day for the personal spaceflight industry.  Tragedy has struck our small community and our deepest sympathies and thoughts are with those involved and their families.

"We are engaged in a demanding endeavor - opening the space frontier.  It is not easy, but it is a goal worthy of our highest efforts.  We are aware of the risks and every day we take the highest precautions.  It is too early to comment on the specifics of yesterday's events, but we can state publicly our commitments going forward:

"As individuals and as an industry, we pledge that:

  • We will always be open and honest to the public and our customers about the risks of our activities and about any incidents that may occur.
  • If there is an incident, a proper and methodical investigation will be conducted to determine the cause.
  • We will apply the lessons of the investigation now underway and work to prevent this from happening again.
  • We will persevere - we believe that we can best honor those pioneers who were involved by carrying on their work.

"After the work and sacrifice of many, the space frontier is now being opened by private enterprise.  As leaders of companies and organizations who are engaged in this undertaking, we are committed to striving for the highest level of safety for the public, our customers and our employees.  We can do no less."

The statement was signed by Gary Hudson of AirLaunch; Stu Witt of Mojave Air and Space Port; Eric Anderson of Space Adventures; John Carmack of Armadillo Aerospace; George French of Rocketplane-Kistler; David Gump of Transformational Space; Jim Benson of Benson Space Company; Burt Rutan of Scaled Composites; Alex Tai of Virgin Galactic; Robert Bigelow of Bigelow Aerospace; Mark Sirangelo of SpaceDev, Inc.; Jeff Greason of XCOR Aerospace; Art Dula of Excalibur Almaz; Kelly O'Donnell of Spaceport America; Peter Diamandis of the X Prize Foundation; and Elon Musk of SpaceX.

Update for 4 p.m. ET July 29: The National Space Society sent out this statement about the Scaled Family Support Fund:

"As many of you have heard, there was a serious accident last week at Scaled Composites, Burt Rutan's pioneering company. Three lives were lost, including Charles 'Glen' May, an NSS member who was a leader within NSS's Huntsville HAL5 Chapter. In addition, three employees suffered serious injuries.

"Scaled has announced information on a fund for those wishing to support the families of the deceased as well as the injured and their families. The National Space Society urges all of its members to give generously to support these heroes.

"Please send contributions to Scaled Family Support Fund, c/o Scaled Composites, 1624 Flight Line, Mojave, CA. 93501.

Acct # 04157-66832
Wire transfer ABA Routing #0260-0959-3 (Bank of America)

"Please make checks payable to the account number or to the name of the fund."

NSS Statement on Accident at Scaled Composites

"America was built on the courage of those who dared to explore new frontiers. From Lewis and Clark to the Apollo astronauts, great men and women have tested themselves against the frontiers of their age.

"In the course of their efforts, these heroes may pay the ultimate cost, as they did yesterday in Mojave. When that happens, it is the highest duty of all of us to care for the injured, to mourn the departed, and to care for the families. An honest investigation must be conducted to learn what went wrong, and to fix the cause so that it does not happen again.

"But when the investigation finished, our duty is to carry on the work of those heroes, to redouble our efforts to scale the peaks that they were climbing. That is what we learned from Apollo 1. That is what they would want.

"The frontier of space is far from tamed. The men and women of Scaled Composites are engaged in one of the great efforts of our time: opening space for all humanity. That is a noble pursuit, perhaps the most noble of all, and we must all be thankful for their work, and for their sacrifice.

"Let us not shirk from what happened yesterday. Professionals will find the cause. The program will continue. The effort to open space cannot be stopped. Now is the time to honor those men by honoring the cause that they were engaged in. Those of us who are part of this great endeavor, whether as participants or as supporters, let us carry forward this message of perseverance to our own communities, to our elected leaders and to the media. Now more than ever, the nation needs to hear your voices."

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Comments

Gerald May, Glen's brother, to Eric Blackwell's and Todd Ivens family an friends. May God be with you all at this time . Jen, thanks for your words of comfort. To the familes of Keith, Gene and Jason, God be with your speedy recovery. Glen was asked to come home before he started back this week, but he loved this so much he decided to stay.This is how much he loved this. We are proud of all the work of everyone in this historical event and please keep it going. Thanks from all of Glen's family.   ps.to Randy we never knew your first name was David looking forward to seeing this week. God Bless you all ... Glen's family..
The race to bring tourists to space may have claimed it's first victims, but progress will march on to its inevitable conclusion. One day, very soon, Americans will offer suborbital vacation flights to all takers
who are physically able to withstand the stresses
of space flight. We will remember those who died.
Like the american astronauts who died living their dreams, the victims of this terrible tragedy will live on in our hearts and minds.
Daniel Henderson, Metairie, Louisiana
(suburb of New Orleans, post Katrina)
The pursuit of technical advancements has always come with a high price tag in human lives.  The loss of these dedicated individuals, although tragic, will result in safety process changes and new technical directions that will minimalize future loses (both human and financial).  Having worked in R&D and T&E for the last 27 years, I continue to see first hand the dedication and hard work it takes to help keep this great nation moving forward.  Those of us who do this kind of work know the risks, yet there's no other type of work we'd rather be doing.  Let's mourn the loss of these brave men, and then let's make sure their sacrifices were not in vain.  Let's keep their dreams alive by continued support of their work and of the advancement of technology.
Every great human endeavor has been marked with tragedy.  From the time we first waded into the oceans, to our first attempts at flight, accidents have taken the lives of pioneers and heroes.  These were not the first nor will they be the last.  But the cause for which they gave their lives, human advancement into space, will continue.  May God bless them and comfort their families.
All new technology has risk. There were 122 steam locomotive boiler explosions in Great Britain in the 19th century. Many people died. Today we take trains planes and automobiles for granted, this ease of use was paid for in the blood of heroes. As private enterprise opens the space frontier this will not be the last tragedy. If we give up the quest then these losses will be in vain, the best way to honor their dreams and sacrifice is to continue forward.

This said, only time will dull the pain of the empty space felt by friends, and family. Nothing I write will ease it and I can't possibly imagine its depth or intensity.


Godspeed dreamers.

Paul Breed
Unreasonable Rocket

The path to the stars is paved with the blood of heroes.

Godspeed
God bless you all from Dr. Haynes at Blue Ridge Nebual Airlines 1st in space flight
they were, are and will be my heroes. the highest price was paid, the price none of us would want to receive for them to continue their work. at least continue the work so in few more years space to be available not only to military but to all because we pay them actually to restrict us from what we deserve.
when i saw the news suddenly my whole attention was with them
To live ... for things that you believe in
to work ... for things you think worthwhile
to suffer ... in pursuit of frontiers to be conquered
to die ... and find others follow in your footprint

May those who passed find peace with God
May those who stayed behind find comfort and strength
God bless all concerned
Gosdspeed

My deepest condolencesfor the families of the men who passed
Wishes of strength and hope for the injured and their families

Miss you very much Todd.  I think about you daily.  Miss you too Eric.  Kim's hanging in there.  Sorry I never got to meet you Glen....  Thinking of all of you everyday.
to boldly go.....
May God take them into his arms and fill them with his love. It is evident these men loved what they were doing and they passed away loving what they were doing.  Every new endeavor into space has been very dangerous, and we as a new race in the universe, have a long way to go before we can harness space flight out of the solar system.  We need men and women that have that initiative to make our dreams of space flight into the cosmos a reality.
So begins a new pantheon of fallen heroes.  It is saddening to know the eventual roll will not be short but heartening to know the goal will be worth the grievous cost. Let us never forget them nor relinquish their dream.
It's been 11 months.  The tears do not fall every single day, but the memories are with us every single day.  I think of you daily Todd.  You're everywhere!  :o)  I can't look at pictures of the 3 of you without crying still.  Todd, your BIG wish in life will come true some year and I promise you that. I've not forgotten it babe!  Love and miss you.  Give Eric a big ol bear hug for me.


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