ABOUT COSMIC LOG

Quantum fluctuations in space, science, exploration and other cosmic fields... served up regularly by MSNBC.com science editor Alan Boyle since 2002.

Alan Boyle covers the physical sciences, anthropology, technological innovation and space science and exploration for MSNBC.com. He is a winner of the AAAS Science Journalism Award, the NASW Science-in-Society Award and other honors; a contributor to "A Field Guide for Science Writers"; and a member of the board of the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing.

Check out Boyle's biography or send a message to Cosmic Log via cosmiclog@msnbc.com.



Lunar lander lineup

Posted: Wednesday, June 13, 2007 10:51 AM by Alan Boyle

The organizers of this year's $2 million Northrop Grumman Lunar Lander Challenge have just unveiled an upgraded Web site that tells everything the competitors want you to know about their rocket-powered hovercrafts.

Sometimes that's not much. In fact, one of the nine listed teams is going totally incognito for the time being. But the other eight provide at least some hints of what they're up to. For the record, those eight have been mentioned as likely entrants, but this is the first time the official list has been revealed.

The lineup includes Acuity Technologies, Armadillo Aerospace, BonNova, Masten Space Systems, Micro-Space, Paragon Labs, Speed Up and Unreasonable Rocket.

Armadillo was the only entrant in last year's challenge, although Masten, Acuity and Micro-Space all made an effort to join the fray. BonNova, Speed Up and Unreasonable Rocket are among this year's first-time entrants. And if you're looking for any surprise, you'd have to cast a glance in Paragon Labs' direction: Even though Armadillo is widely seen as this year's front-runner, the X Prize Foundation's Will Pomerantz says Armadillo team leader John Carmack isn't taking Paragon (or the other competitors, for that matter) for granted.

"He sees some of these teams charging up in the rear view mirror, and Paragon is one of them," Pomerantz told me a few days ago.

The X Prize Foundation is in charge of putting on the rocket show this October at the Wirefly X Prize Cup in New Mexico, just as it was last year. This time around, Pomerantz has a whole year to prepare for the Lunar Lander Challenge - and he's breathing a lot easier than he was last June.

"We're in so much better shape than we were last time," he said.

The biggest regulatory hurdle ahead has to do with permission to launch: Each team that's serious about competing will have to get an experimental permit from the Federal Aviation Administration. In fact, the rules say that the teams should have that permit 30 days ahead of the Oct. 26-28 event, although the judges might be willing to bend those rules. (They did last year.)

Because it can take up to 120 days for the FAA to rule on the permit, the teams should already have turned in their completed applications to be assured that time won't run out. And that's no mean trick.

"We have a couple of teams that met that mark, which is really great news," Pomerantz said.

The bottom line is that the Lunar Lander Challenge is shaping up as more than a one-horse race, as we discussed last week. The basic rules are the same as they were last year: To have any chance of winning a prize, a team will have to get its remote-controlled rocket ship to lift off from one pad, hover at least 50 meters high, touch down at a destination pad 100 meters away, fuel up again, then make the return trip - all within 150 minutes.

In the Level 1 competition, the minimum hover time is 90 seconds, and the destination pad is nice and level. In the Level 2 competition, 180 seconds of hovering is required, and the destination is a rocky, rugged spot much like a lunar landscape. The Level 1 prizes, provided under NASA's Centennial Challenges program, are $350,000 for first and $150,000 for second. For Level 2, NASA's prescribed payoff rises to $1 million for first, $500,000 for second.

So what happens if two teams fly the course successfully? That could get complicated. "When I wrote the tie-breaker, I never really expected it to come into play," Pomerantz admitted.

Each successful team would get another 150-minute time period, but this time the team would have to fly its craft between Point A and Point B as many times as it can. The winners would be decided on the basis of who has the most hops.

"It's really going to be a race between those two pads. ... They could probably do four or five flights. It could very intensive. It's so exciting that we can talk about that," Pomerantz said.

If teams are still tied after that fly-off, the judges would go back and measure how close each landing came to the target point on the pad. The team that, on average, came the closest would be declared the first-prize winner. But if it's still a tie, the teams that were deadlocked would split the money.

The purpose behind the exercise - and the reason why NASA is putting up the prize purse - is to encourage rocket-powered innovation that could someday come into play during the drive back to the moon and beyond. That's why Northrop Grumman, which built the Apollo-era lunar lander, is providing the sponsorship money for the contest. And that's also the big picture that Pomerantz has in mind as he continues to prepare for this year's contest.

But you also get a sense that he has his heart set on a really, really big show.

"There's going to be that element of drama that was there in a lesser form last year," he said. "There's that drama, and wondering who's going to win the check. It's as close to a guarantee as you're going to get that money is going to be given out this year."

Check out the Web site (including the head-to-head matchups and the links to lunar-lander games), and let me know how you'd handicap the Great Lunar Lander Race (or who's behind the mysterious ninth team). If you're looking for additional tips, you can study The Space Review and browse through the past and present blog entries at Space Prizes, RLV and Space Transport News and Lunar Lander Challenge.

MAIN PAGE

Email this EMAIL THIS

Comments

Is Paragon a ringer outfit?  Their vehicle seems radically advanced compared to everyone else's but Armadillo, and it looks very similar to Pixel.  Their team description on the LLC page makes it sound like these guys come from Big Aerospace, so even though Paragon has been around for a while, I have to wonder if the biggies haven't decided to "help out."  The only way to describe the effect on the industry of Armadillo being flush with $1.5 million is "disruptive."  They could seriously deliver on their promise of dirt-cheap, scaleable space access, and wouldn't need a single relationship with Lockheed, Boeing, or Northrop Grumman to do it.  Carmack is starting to look like the 21st century's Howard Hughes.  Maybe Old Space wants to get in there first and keep things under control?
Was always a big fan of Northrop. Few people may remember the Northrop F-23.  It was FAR superior to the F-22 (faster, more stealthy, longer range, bigger internal weapons bay, the first ever use of curved composites) but it was the F-22 that was chosen for political reasons.  Sen. Sam Nunn lived in the state the F-22 was to be built.  He was the head of the armed services committee...

As for as all these competitions go, I really don't favor them.  It shows a decided lack of commitment on NASA and the Administration's part to come up with exactly what they hope to accomplish and what exactly might be the best way to get there.  A Mach 8 SST fly-back booster is what is demanded to make space and the moon accessible to all, but that isn't going to happen without 20 billion dollars.  You first need to know what you want to do before you start trying to design something for it.  Waving flags on the moon isn’t a goal but that is about all these 'tinker-toy' landers will be able to do.
How can one company need $25mil, and Armadillo is considered 'flush' at $1.6mil?
Old space is already there...with the situation well in hand...try to go somewhere without their permission...Space is Closed.
Call it what you will...every weapon out there points this way...as far as we know...do...do...do...doo...
Mike, I assure you that Paragon is not a ringer, just a group of very hard working people with a lot of "domain experience" (but not all aerospace), led by an incredibly talented aerospace engineer. It really helps when the leader knows what they are doing!

Duncan McDonald
Solid-Motion
While I hope everybody fields and makes a good showing, it would be a crime if Armadillo didn't walk away with the money.  They're pursuing a scaleable-to-orbit concept with their modules, and the prize money puts them right on track to eventually deliver space at bargain basement prices even SpaceX can't dream of yet.  Economies from high flight rate would be magnified several times over by modularization, so you might get per-kg launch prices in the mid triple digits.  I know Masten is looking at the same stuff and has some of the same potential, but Armadillo is stronger and further along, so it's in everyone's best interest that they win.  Except for Masten, I'm afraid the money would just go nowhere if someone else got it.  Armadillo has more potential than any firm out there, is second only to SpaceX in entrepreneurial spirit.



SEND A COMMENT

PLEASE READ: All comments must be approved before appearing in the thread; time and space constraints prevent all comments from appearing. We will only approve comments that are directly related to the blog, use appropriate language and are not attacking the comments of others.

Message (please, no HTML tags. Web addresses will be hyperlinked):

TRACKBACKS

Trackbacks are links to weblogs that reference this post. Like comments, trackbacks do not appear until approved by us. The trackback URL for this post is: http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/trackback.aspx?PostID=224377

Latest Tech & Science News

Syndicate This Site

Add Cosmic Log to your news reader:
live.com xml
myyahoo msn
bloglines newsgator
google