ABOUT COSMIC LOG

Quantum fluctuations in space, science, exploration and other cosmic fields... served up regularly by MSNBC.com science editor Alan Boyle since 2002.

Alan Boyle covers the physical sciences, anthropology, technological innovation and space science and exploration for MSNBC.com. He is a winner of the AAAS Science Journalism Award, the NASW Science-in-Society Award and other honors; a contributor to "A Field Guide for Science Writers"; and a member of the board of the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing.

Check out Boyle's biography or send a message to Cosmic Log via cosmiclog@msnbc.com.



Science and the space station

Posted: Tuesday, September 05, 2006 8:30 PM by Alan Boyle

As NASA prepares to resume the job of finishing the international space station after an almost four-year gap, a lot of folks have been wondering whether the multibillion-dollar, decade-long effort is really worth the cost and the risk. That was the focus of a trio of stories last month - and if it were merely a question of science, there's no way the space station would ever have been built. At least that's the view of astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson, director of New York's Hayden Planetarium and a member of the NASA Advisory Council.

Tyson acknowledges that space scientists have had to deal with more than their share of frustrations lately, in part because of the debate over NASA's vision for human spaceflight. But he expects the issue to be resolved by 2010 - when the station is due to be completed, the shuttle fleet is due for retirement, and the scientific community is due to come out with a new 10-year roadmap for NASA research.


David Friedman / MSNBC.com
Neil deGrasse Tyson is director of the Hayden
Planetarium in New York, and a member of the NASA
Advisory Council. He also served on the President's
Commission on Moon, Mars and Beyond.

Is the space station a good place to do research? That's never been an issue, Tyson told me today. Of course good science can be done there. "The issue was whether you were doing $3 billion a year worth of good science on the space station," he said.

Seen from that perspective, "you're not getting $3 billion of science if you think of it just as a science platform," he said. Quantitatively speaking, the number of published papers based on space station research are way below the number for NASA's high-profile robotic space missions.

"If you compare the Hubble Space Telescope with the space station - there's just no contest, you blow it out of the sky," he said. "You look at the Mars rovers. ... If it was purely science, [the space station] would not have happened."

Tyson said the bottom line is ... well, that science on the space station is not the bottom line. International relations play a part as well.

"If the completion of the space station has a strong political dimension to it, that's the simple fact of politics. ... Politics underpins everything, and the sooner we can understand that, the faster we can get on with understanding the causes and effects," he said.

So does that mean the station is just a political boondoggle? Not at all, Tyson said.

In his view, the important thing is that NASA is finally lifting its sights beyond Earth orbit and planning for the true exploration of other worlds. He agrees with the agency's view that the space station can serve as a test bed for the technologies and the human biological studies that are necessary for the push to the moon and Mars.

He said the problem was that, in the early years, the space station was promoted as a stand-alone science platform rather than just one "piece of the exploration pie."

Back when the space station was conceived, the idea of going to the moon and Mars was almost a taboo at the space agency. NASA felt it couldn't talk about taking those steps out of Earth orbit until it could demonstrate its follow-through on this grand international project. "Throughout the entire tenure of the space station until 2004, there was no plan to go beyond the space station," Tyson recalled.

That changed when President Bush laid out NASA's new Vision for Space Exploration, which put the moon directly in NASA's crosshairs for the first time in more than three decades. Suddenly, NASA's managers had to rework their budgets to reflect the agency's new priorities - while fulfilling its international obligations to finish the station and send up the laboratories already built by Japan and the European Space Agency.

If space station development had taken place under the umbrella of a larger exploration program targeting the moon, Mars and beyond, the orbital outpost might have been seen - and used - much differently. "The space station would have been one aspect of a much richer manned program, and no one would be saying this was a white elephant," Tyson said.

So for the next four years or so, NASA officials - as well as outside advisers such as Tyson - are having to adjust the agency's scientific goals to fit the new vision. The frustrations have led some to leave the NASA Advisory Council, but Tyson said he's staying on. "One is always more influential not resigning than resigning," he said.

And he's hopeful that the scientific community will be able to forge more of a consensus as they draw up their next 10-year roadmap for NASA priorities in astronomy and astrophysics - a document known as the Decadal Survey. That process is due to begin in the next few months, and NASA Administrator Mike Griffin has said he pays close attention to such surveys.

"Once that comes out, then there's a deep, broad consensus of where NASA needs to go," Tyson said. Until then, Tyson said he sees the role of the advisory council as that of "keeping NASA scientifically buoyant" amid troubled waters.

The debate over space science spending isn't the only issue occupying Tyson's attention lately:

  • Pluto's predicament: Years ago, Tyson demoted Pluto from the Hayden Planetarium's display of solar system planets - a decision that he said brought him stacks of "hate mail from third-graders." So don't expect him to change things much in the wake of last month's decision by the International Astronomical Union to regard Pluto and others of its ilk as dwarf planets. "What we might do is change some of the text," he said. Don't expect him to gloat, either: "The IAU decision is not binding, in the sense that they're a College of Cardinals that makes edicts that all must follow. ... If their decision does not sit on common ground, then it just simply won't get followed."
  • Tyson on TV: Do expect to see the astrophysicist on public television next month, as the new host of "Nova ScienceNOW." Tyson even shows off some of the cosmic tchotchkes in his office in an online preview video. His first episode as host will touch upon subjects ranging from America's obesity epidemic to the quest for the elusive Element 114 and the threat posed by the asteroid Apophis. "Watch for my ending comments, called 'the Cosmic Perspective,' which aims, for each episode, to highlight our place in the universe," Tyson said.

Just what I need ... more cosmic commentary.

In the meantime, here are some additional thoughts on space station science:

Sam Dinkin, chief executive officer of SpaceShot and contributor to The Space Review: "In your recent 'science taking a back seat' article, I was a little surprised to hear you repeating the old saw that we need the space station for low-gravity research on humans. The rejoinder from the physicists and engineers in the audience is that we should spin all future stations and long-duration missions. We know how to build an elevator on Earth. With two rockets and a tether we can spin a habitation module and a cargo or lander module to provide artificial gravity. At both ends, it would be like being at the bottom of an elevator cable. Put a propulsion unit in the middle for easy calculations. It has all of the high technology of a carnival ride that spins occupants and the floor drops out. For the astronauts, of course, it would be the floor dropping in.
 
"Even if we are bullheaded enough to send a crew cabin that doesn't spin, the ethical case is weak to do human subject research on what will happen to them. Why make someone suffer on a long-duration local mission to try to save someone on a long-duration remote mission? It's not like there are going to be more astronauts going to the moon and Mars at first than going to the space station. The only case that can be made is that we are spending a lot of money and we want the mission to come back safely with the human cargo/operators safe, so we will test humans locally to near destruction to see how long they can hold out - is it two years?"

Lloyd Daub: "Big deal if NASA is giving up on sinking taxpayer dollars into the ISS by the million.  Did you miss the recent story about how private space-launch companies will be taking over the role of sending crew and cargo to the ISS? Sounds like science can be likewise shifted to the private sector, that's all.

"Edison, Goodyear, the Wright Brothers, Ford...  yeah, we'd be nowhere without government control of science and technology."

Jeff Ellis: "I enjoyed your article today on the value of the space station. It's kind of a shame that malaise creeps in on scientific exploration.  But even if some does, I'm hopeful that things turn around and we can boost the budget of NASA in the near future. Uncontrolled spending on military exploits must cease, and I sense a growing backlash to W's exploits.  If we finally vote for a truly peace-loving administration, then we can reset our priorities to helping the best minds push the boundaries of science."

James Milson Worgan III: "An astrophysics/engineering/robotics student or team of students might jump at the opportunity to design and remotely operate a small probe outside of the space station to study the physics of slow space manuvering, for observation of the exterior of the space station, visiting vehicles, mechanics of repairs in zero gravity on devices created to be worked on by such probes, outside the space station.

"There are countless fields of study, experiments and research that could be done, need to be done, by so many more than just those few whose projects have made it to the space station and back."

Richard Youngs, Yuma, Ariz: "Two points:

"1)  A complete program of space research cannot be performed without a complete space station (as currently designed).

"2)  NASA is privatizing several aspects of its activities, including space-launch vehicles. Why not privatize the space station research effort too? It will wind up being less costly, more efficient and more productive!
 
"Hello - space to Earth - Hello. It's 2006 A.D. - Hello!"

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Comments

The station was designed to have a crew of six - it takes 2-3 people just to do day-to-day maintenance. That possibility was killed with the demise of the Crew Return Vehicle, a political decision that guaranteed the station would never live up to its potential. Despite that, each crew has gone to extraordinary lengths to cram in as much science as they can accomplish, even if it means giving up weekends and what little free time they have left over.

If we are to go on long duration missions where re-supply ships will not be available and crewmembers will be forced to improvise with what they have in order to survive, then the station is the perfect training platform for both crewmembers and ground controllers. Broken oxygen generators, cabin leaks, failed attitude control, infrequent availability of communication links, spacewalks with no one inside – these are things that are best not encountered for the first time half way to Mars (and all have happened on the station). The Columbia accident forced everyone to re-think what could be done and how to do it. Rather than simply de-man, NASA successfully kept the station continuously occupied and working, and although many people are unaware, they kept the science collection going continuously as well. The lessons learned from these last two years will be of tremendous value when the crews really are beyond the relative safety of low earth orbit.

Judging the value of the station based on the number of scientific papers it produces is even less insightful than judging a scientist by the number of papers he or she publishes. Nearly everyone called Hubble a white elephant, not worthy of an expensive and dangerous shuttle flight to fix an embarrassing mistake – until they saw what it ultimately led to. Human spaceflight has never been purely a scientific pursuit, nor should it be. A representative of the human race going to new worlds in person will always connect with people in ways a CCD image or peer-reviewed journal never could.

As for the cost, if we had skipped out on that whole Iraq thing, we could have built four more stations - or at least a Crew Return Vehicle.
As the old saying goes, "Crime wouldn't pay, if the government ran it."

Very little of what the government does recoups its costs. NASA, our highway system, our military...none of it pays for itself in concrete, easy-to-measure terms. The only time someone attempts to judge a program by whether or not it's making its costs back is when they want to kill it.

Heck, even the Russians are better at ferrying people and supplies to orbit on a regular schedule. When was the last time a Soyuz craft was lost? How many Soyuz flights could we buy for the cost of one Shuttle mission? How hard would it really be to outfit the ISS with another docking section, so that we could keep two Soyuz craft docked in the absence of a Crew Recovery Vehicle? Why have we never lofted Shuttle external tanks the extra little bit and used *them* to build a space station, or to drastically expand the ISS?

I look forward to the day when the Bigelows and the SpaceXs eat NASA's lunch.
Yeah, I watched about ten minutes of Tyson on television the other day talking about why Pluto shouldn't be considered a planet...going on about how it would sprout a tail if it were closer to the sun...  Had Mercury formed in the same region of the solar system as Pluto, it would certainly have a frozen atmosphere and would also sprout a tail were it brought closer to the sun.  So is Mercury not a planet?  

If size matters, a really good survey of extrasolar planets may someday show that Earth itself is way behind the curve size-wise.  If it turns out that 99.99% of planetary bodies are gas giants, do we demote Earth to dwarf planet status?

Tyson also complained that some of our solar system's moons (including our own) are larger than Pluto, yet they aren't considered planets.  Well, why aren't they?  Is it because they orbit a larger planet?  

I would say change the definition of planet such that it doesn't require the body in question to be a primary satellite of its sun.  Call planets that are satellites only of their suns Primary Planets, and those that are satellites of another planet Secondary Planets.  

Overall, the popular rationale for demoting Pluto does not appear completely reasonable.  

Critic's concerns about the space station also seem peculiar.  If running the space station costs $3 billion per year, then it's money well spent if we learn something that keeps a $100 billion accident from happening on a manned mission to one of the other planets...including Pluto.
I still remember when my parents forced me to come watch the TV to see the first man walk on the moon.  I didn't think it was important at the time, but I still remember it.  I hope my children have such an oppertunity.

I am glad we will be able to finish the ISS.  It needs to be done for all the reasons mentioned, both political and philisophical.  I am also glad to see that the ISS is now being seen as a stepping stone to the moon, mars, and beyond.

William E Petersen
http://www.daddyresource.com
A Practical Resource to Help Dads Grow
I totally agree with Sam Dinkin who says that we can much more easily simulate artificial gravity in space (with a simple tether linking two rotating objects) than to try to learn to live without it.  All this research into its affects on the human body is quite bogus and senseless.

I also question the limited usefulness of the ISS to help construct things in orbit and its sprawling layout.  Instead of such a wildly branching configuration (which places stress on its joints when orbital engines are fired) they should have designed it so that all the modules created an inner, protected construction area.  Much like how the Hubble was pulled partially into the shuttle bay when undergoing repairs, modules could have just been arranged around the perimeter of an open area to protect astronauts from space debris.

The space station also needs to be in a much more useful (albeit harder to get to) polar orbit where it can support WMD and Environmental monitoring sensor pallets.  A small geostationary station/platform with weather, GPS, and communications pallets would also benefit from a periodic visit from repair and upgrade crews who could work from within.
I searched the Internet as to why our space faring partners (like France and Japan) have never sent a supply rocket to the ISS.  I found a partial answer and how our partners really feel about the ISS, shortly after construction is completed in 2010, it will be decommissioned by 2015, if what I read is true.  I guess that shortly after decommissioning, it will fall out of orbit.  I am confident out partners will find a way to blame the US.  
ISS - what a waste, when billions are starving, the planet's atmosphere is doomed to unleash CO2 levels giving rise to global warming which will cook us in the centuries to come. I pray for my descendants! Has America and the world got its priorities right? With this money we could rebuild Africa, bring peace to the world and develop new technologies to keep our planet green and healthy. But no, it's to allow 2 or 3 elite people to bounce around in rubber suits... Even the experiments they do will only for example help the rich Western people to be cured of cancer, the rest couldn't pay for 1 day's worth of this innovative medicine even with a year's salary. I the average person feel ashamed that we spend more money on things like this ISS or even feeding the average cow than spending on humans, and yet I am an amateur astronomer and love everything that there is in the heavans. Can you get your heads around that?
Though I'm first to admit ISS is *not* the best way to impiliment a research space station, what I can easily get my head around is the fact that taking that part of the NASA budget (which itself is a fraction of one percent of your US tax dollar), isn't going to solve any (much less all) of the above problems.

Before robbing NASA's pockets, can you say how much already *is* being spent (and how effectively...again, as ISS proves, just throwing more money at it, isn't always the answer) on all the problems listed above?

It's likely more than you believe.

It's very much like the question that begins; "If we can put a man on the Moon, why can't we..."

One of the several answers is: "As strange as it may seem to you, it's because some things *are* indeed harder than going to the Moon."

(Exactly how do you spend money to 'bring peace to the world?' Wars aren't that kind of problem. Diplomacy is cheap, but determined adversaries can't be bought off. Exactly what is meant by 'rebuilding Africa?' Even with alternatives, will people *give up* those things that produce CO2? Are they cheaper? And no one ever promised a cure for *any* disease would be cheap to produce, even when you know what it is.)

Having no ISS would simply mean a world with the same problems, and no ISS above it.



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